 |
|
Dermatologists for the NationProjections of Supply and Demand
Melvin Krasner;
David L. Ramsay, MD, MED;
Vincent J. O'Sullivan, Jr;
Peyton E. Weary, MD
Arch Dermatol. 1977;113(10):1367-1371.
Abstract
• Because inappropriate supply of physician specialists involves unnecessary human suffering or waste of human resources and because free market forces are ineffective in the medical sector, deliberate planning of supply is necessary. A model projecting the future supply of dermatologists was formulated on the basis of current residency capacity, which produces 250 dermatologists annually, and current experience regarding life expectancy and retirement. The model implies that an equilibrium supply of 8,800 dermatologists, or three per 100,000 population, will be realized early in the 21st century. A number of methods were used to estimate the demand for care, and, under conditions of general access, three dermatologists per 100,000 appear to be appropriate. Thus, maintaining current training capacity seems to be prudent, but because of many unknown and unpredictable factors, periodic reassessment is necessary.
(Arch Dermatol 113:1367-1371, 1977)
Author Affiliations
From the American Academy of Dermatology Manpower Study, Department of Dermatology, New York University School of Medicine.
Footnotes
Accepted for publication June 13, 1977.
Reprint requests to 560 First Ave, New York, NY 10016 (Dr Ramsay).
 CiteULike  Connotea  Del.icio.us  Digg  Reddit  Technorati  Twitter
What's this?
THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN CITED BY OTHER ARTICLES
Too Few or Too Many Dermatologists?: Difficulties in Assessing Optimal Workforce Size
Resneck
Arch Dermatol 2001;137:1295-1301.
FULL TEXT
Dermatologists in the Year 2000: Will Supply Exceed Demand?
Stern
Arch Dermatol 1986;122:675-678.
ABSTRACT
Dermatology Manpower Projections
Ramsay et al.
Arch Dermatol 1984;120:1298-1300.
ABSTRACT
|
